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Red261
175181.0
2713134.1
4987108.2
Blue366
61163.8
173147.9
839142.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308350100200400500600261366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#20
181.00.8
183.9183.1
Auto19.7
Teleop130.3
End29.2
red by 17.3
61
#12
163.81.0
167.0166.0
Auto23.3
Teleop123.4
End16.1
Second
2713
#32
134.10.2
134.5134.6
Auto20.9
Teleop96.3
End17.5
blue by 13.8
173
#34
147.90.3
148.3148.0
Auto19.0
Teleop113.4
End13.6
Third
4987
#31
108.20.1
109.3109.3
Auto19.6
Teleop80.2
End8.3
blue by 33.7
839
#36
142.00.9
143.1142.2
Auto15.3
Teleop106.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed