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Qual 582018 BattleCry 19
Red307
2084129.4
4909169.6
2079130.5
Blue372
1721161.5
6328159.9
3236162.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273406100200500600307372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#10
169.60.8
165.5→166.3
Auto19.2
Teleop123.4
End28.1
red by 6.9
3236
#9
162.70.2
163.3→163.1
Auto19.6
Teleop118.8
End21.4
Second
2079
#51
130.51.6
133.3→131.7
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End17.2
blue by 31.0
1721
#28
161.51.5
165.8→164.3
Auto18.2
Teleop119.1
End20.5
Third
2084
#50
129.42.4
134.8→132.4
Auto17.6
Teleop102.3
End9.7
blue by 30.6
6328
#26
159.90.2
160.6→160.3
Auto22.5
Teleop118.0
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed