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Red137
121139.2
9985106.9
5459115.0
Blue394
885125.6
5421131.1
190144.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573530100200300400500137394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#56
139.22.0
145.5143.6
Auto22.4
Teleop104.1
End11.8
blue by 5.2
190
#27
144.41.1
146.0144.9
Auto18.2
Teleop111.9
End16.2
Second
5459
#57
115.01.3
118.7117.5
Auto13.4
Teleop87.3
End14.5
blue by 16.1
5421
#16
131.10.5
130.6130.0
Auto16.4
Teleop103.3
End12.0
Third
9985
#47
106.93.0
96.199.1
Auto13.8
Teleop81.7
End12.3
blue by 18.8
885
#24
125.60.4
123.2123.5
Auto16.0
Teleop98.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed