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Red393
172130.5
716138.6
4041172.8
Blue248
3719122.9
3467125.3
6763168.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335310200250350400450393248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.82.3
163.9166.2
Auto22.1
Teleop126.1
End28.0
red by 4.3
6763
#48
168.62.0
174.2172.2
Auto18.5
Teleop129.7
End18.4
Second
716
#39
138.60.4
136.5136.9
Auto15.7
Teleop109.3
End13.8
red by 13.3
3467
#49
125.31.1
129.0127.9
Auto17.4
Teleop100.6
End6.7
Third
172
#30
130.51.3
132.2131.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End17.4
red by 7.5
3719
#54
122.90.6
121.5122.0
Auto15.2
Teleop95.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed