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Red359
7190116.4
4627141.9
5078133.8
Blue156
6408111.1
6403123.2
7158122.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326256100200300400500359156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.90.3
139.6139.9
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
red by 18.7
123.20.2
122.9123.1
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
Second
5078
#21
133.80.4
131.1131.5
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
red by 10.9
7158
#13
122.90.3
122.3122.6
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
Third
116.40.2
114.3114.6
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 5.3
6408
#25
111.10.1
111.4111.2
Auto15.2
Teleop86.2
End10.1