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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red441
7190116.4
4627141.9
5078133.8
Blue159
6408111.1
6403123.2
7158122.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333249100200300400500441159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#2
141.90.4
139.9→140.2
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
red by 18.7
6403
#8
123.20.1
123.1→123.2
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
Second
5078
#21
133.80.4
131.5→131.9
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
red by 10.9
7158
#13
122.90.3
122.6→122.9
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
Third
7190
#9
116.40.3
114.6→114.9
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 5.3
6408
#25
111.10.2
111.2→111.1
Auto15.2
Teleop86.2
End10.1