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Qual 122018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red233
6364125.2
656391.8
6390161.0
Blue334
7287138.9
4334167.1
5787121.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246299100200400500233334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6390
#6
161.010.6
113.1→123.7
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
blue by 6.1
4334
#4
167.16.0
131.4→137.3
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
Second
6364
#22
125.25.7
88.3→94.1
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
blue by 13.7
7287
#10
138.97.9
89.8→97.7
Auto16.9
Teleop101.8
End22.8
Third
6563
#28
91.83.9
85.3→89.2
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
blue by 29.6
5787
#11
121.37.1
90.6→97.7
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed