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Qual 132018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red108
1482111.1
7167102.0
398587.7
Blue331
6351103.7
7262113.1
6485120.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2492360100200300400500108331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1482
#23
111.18.7
107.6→116.4
Auto14.0
Teleop89.1
End7.5
blue by 9.1
6485
#18
120.27.8
79.0→86.8
Auto11.4
Teleop91.3
End22.6
Second
7167
#17
102.04.9
87.2→92.2
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
blue by 11.0
7262
#16
113.15.7
88.1→93.7
Auto16.5
Teleop85.7
End15.0
Third
3985
#27
87.70.6
95.4→94.9
Auto14.7
Teleop62.8
End8.9
blue by 16.0
6351
#5
103.73.0
90.2→93.1
Auto15.7
Teleop83.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed