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Red178
7189105.7
5078133.8
6408111.1
Blue383
7169131.6
1241195.3
6406156.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133440100300400500600700178383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5078
#21
133.87.2
100.9108.1
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
blue by 61.5
195.310.1
139.0149.0
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
Second
6408
#25
111.16.2
97.7104.0
Auto15.2
Teleop86.2
End10.1
blue by 45.7
156.78.7
106.3114.9
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
Third
7189
#24
105.77.2
91.698.8
Auto15.5
Teleop80.1
End12.3
blue by 25.8
131.67.4
90.698.1
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed