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Qual 152018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red186
6458123.8
7190116.4
4627141.9
Blue173
2643128.1
7170101.1
1868134.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862650100200400500600700186173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#2
141.98.5
111.4→119.9
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
red by 7.4
1868
#14
134.59.9
113.5→123.3
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
Second
6458
#12
123.88.9
107.9→116.8
Auto17.4
Teleop98.1
End5.8
blue by 4.3
2643
#15
128.19.1
102.6→111.7
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
Third
7190
#9
116.49.3
88.0→97.3
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 15.3
7170
#29
101.19.5
87.2→96.7
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed