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Qual 202018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red163
4334167.1
656391.8
2643128.1
Blue330
462594.8
6364125.2
6406156.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032440100200400500600163330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#4
167.16.4
137.3→143.7
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
red by 10.4
6406
#3
156.77.7
114.9→122.6
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
Second
2643
#15
128.14.2
111.7→115.9
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
red by 2.9
6364
#22
125.24.8
94.1→98.9
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Third
6563
#28
91.83.6
89.2→92.7
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
blue by 3.0
4625
#30
94.85.3
95.9→101.2
Auto14.5
Teleop76.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed