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Qual 212018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red307
1868134.5
6485120.2
5787121.3
Blue274
7158122.9
7169131.6
7287138.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012320100200400500600307274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#14
134.52.3
128.0→130.3
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
blue by 4.4
7287
#10
138.96.7
105.3→112.0
Auto16.9
Teleop101.8
End22.8
Second
5787
#11
121.33.9
104.7→108.6
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
blue by 10.3
7169
#7
131.63.7
104.8→108.5
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
Third
6485
#18
120.25.2
94.2→99.4
Auto11.4
Teleop91.3
End22.6
blue by 2.7
7158
#13
122.93.0
96.5→99.4
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed