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Red106
7189105.7
6403123.2
398587.7
Blue115
656391.8
7190116.4
7170101.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247245150200300106115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.25.1
113.1118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
red by 6.8
116.45.3
102.3107.7
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
Second
7189
#24
105.72.4
103.1105.5
Auto15.5
Teleop80.1
End12.3
red by 4.7
7170
#29
101.11.4
101.2102.6
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
Third
3985
#27
87.71.1
93.892.7
Auto14.7
Teleop62.8
End8.9
blue by 4.0
6563
#28
91.80.8
92.793.6
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed