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Red290
6406156.7
6458123.8
7167102.0
Blue234
462594.8
6390161.0
4334167.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173410100300400500600290234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.74.5
128.9133.4
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
blue by 10.4
167.13.3
146.0149.3
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
Second
6458
#12
123.81.0
123.2122.2
Auto17.4
Teleop98.1
End5.8
blue by 37.2
161.04.0
137.3141.4
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
Third
7167
#17
102.01.4
94.693.2
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
red by 7.3
4625
#30
94.81.0
105.7106.7
Auto14.5
Teleop76.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed