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Red238
2643128.1
7262113.1
7190116.4
Blue155
511893.2
7189105.7
1868134.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276228100200300400500238155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#15
128.13.2
116.9120.1
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
blue by 6.4
1868
#14
134.53.5
130.3133.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
Second
116.42.3
107.7110.0
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 10.7
7189
#24
105.70.2
105.5105.8
Auto15.5
Teleop80.1
End12.3
Third
7262
#16
113.11.4
102.8104.2
Auto16.5
Teleop85.7
End15.0
red by 19.9
5118
#20
93.21.5
99.497.9
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed