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Red393
7167102.0
1241195.3
6485120.2
Blue231
6403123.2
6364125.2
6458123.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304255100200400500393231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.37.5
172.8180.2
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
red by 70.1
6364
#22
125.26.0
108.2114.2
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Second
6485
#18
120.23.5
104.8108.3
Auto11.4
Teleop91.3
End22.6
blue by 3.6
6458
#12
123.80.7
122.2122.9
Auto17.4
Teleop98.1
End5.8
Third
7167
#17
102.00.2
93.293.4
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
blue by 21.2
123.21.1
120.2119.1
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed