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Red172
398587.7
7173106.6
656391.8
Blue353
6351103.7
5078133.8
7169131.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1793290100300400500600172353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7173
#19
106.61.9
99.4101.3
Auto16.8
Teleop78.8
End12.9
blue by 27.2
5078
#21
133.83.6
116.9120.6
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
Second
6563
#28
91.80.0
92.992.8
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
blue by 39.8
131.63.2
113.3116.5
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
Third
3985
#27
87.70.6
91.390.7
Auto14.7
Teleop62.8
End8.9
blue by 16.0
103.71.1
99.798.6
Auto15.7
Teleop83.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed