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Red225
7170101.1
7287138.9
7262113.1
Blue349
6406156.7
5787121.3
4627141.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1953600100300400500600225349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7287
#10
138.95.0
118.8123.7
Auto16.9
Teleop101.8
End22.8
blue by 17.8
156.74.4
133.4137.7
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
Second
7262
#16
113.10.4
104.2104.6
Auto16.5
Teleop85.7
End15.0
blue by 28.8
141.93.1
131.6134.7
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
Third
7170
#29
101.12.5
102.299.7
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
blue by 20.2
5787
#11
121.35.3
113.1118.4
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed