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Red199
462594.8
7190116.4
1868134.5
Blue235
6390161.0
511893.2
1482111.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280252100200300400500199235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#14
134.51.8
133.8135.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
blue by 26.5
161.01.8
141.4143.2
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
Second
116.41.1
110.0111.1
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
red by 5.3
1482
#23
111.10.8
118.7117.9
Auto14.0
Teleop89.1
End7.5
Third
4625
#30
94.80.2
106.7106.5
Auto14.5
Teleop76.1
End4.6
red by 1.5
5118
#20
93.21.4
97.996.6
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed