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Red205
7173106.6
2643128.1
7169131.6
Blue343
6403123.2
7167102.0
4334167.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653030100200400500600700205343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.62.7
120.7123.4
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
blue by 35.5
167.13.0
152.4155.4
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
Second
2643
#15
128.11.5
121.3122.8
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
red by 4.9
123.20.2
119.1118.9
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
Third
7173
#19
106.60.2
102.9102.6
Auto16.8
Teleop78.8
End12.9
red by 4.6
7167
#17
102.01.4
95.596.9
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed