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Qual 422018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red223
511893.2
5078133.8
7170101.1
Blue388
7287138.9
6390161.0
6351103.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2073370100300400500600223388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5078
#21
133.81.3
125.0→126.3
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
blue by 27.2
6390
#6
161.02.7
144.8→147.5
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
Second
7170
#29
101.10.4
100.0→99.6
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
blue by 37.8
7287
#10
138.91.5
128.8→130.2
Auto16.9
Teleop101.8
End22.8
Third
5118
#20
93.22.9
96.1→93.2
Auto13.1
Teleop72.7
End8.3
blue by 10.5
6351
#5
103.70.4
100.1→99.8
Auto15.7
Teleop83.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed