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Qual 432018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red149
1241195.3
398587.7
462594.8
Blue317
6485120.2
6406156.7
7189105.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276274150200250300350400149317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#1
195.31.6
187.4→189.0
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
red by 38.6
6406
#3
156.72.4
141.4→143.8
Auto14.5
Teleop124.1
End21.9
Second
4625
#30
94.82.8
104.8→102.0
Auto14.5
Teleop76.1
End4.6
blue by 25.4
6485
#18
120.21.1
112.8→113.9
Auto11.4
Teleop91.3
End22.6
Third
3985
#27
87.70.5
90.4→89.9
Auto14.7
Teleop62.8
End8.9
blue by 18.0
7189
#24
105.70.9
106.2→105.3
Auto15.5
Teleop80.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed