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Red181
7135103.5
5787121.3
1482111.1
Blue187
4627141.9
656391.8
1868134.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2502850100200400500181187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5787
#11
121.30.1
122.7122.9
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
blue by 20.6
141.90.5
137.6138.1
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
Second
1482
#23
111.11.6
117.8116.3
Auto14.0
Teleop89.1
End7.5
blue by 23.4
1868
#14
134.50.1
135.2135.3
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
Third
7135
#26
103.51.0
103.9103.0
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End7.9
red by 11.8
6563
#28
91.80.0
93.293.2
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed