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Red96
6458123.8
6408111.1
7262113.1
Blue301
7158122.9
6364125.2
7190116.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271256010020040050060096301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6458
#12
123.81.1
124.0125.0
Auto17.4
Teleop98.1
End5.8
blue by 1.4
6364
#22
125.22.7
118.5121.2
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Second
7262
#16
113.13.0
106.7109.7
Auto16.5
Teleop85.7
End15.0
blue by 9.8
7158
#13
122.92.8
112.5115.3
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
Third
6408
#25
111.11.8
111.5113.3
Auto15.2
Teleop86.2
End10.1
blue by 5.3
116.41.2
110.2111.4
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed