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Red206
7170101.1
5787121.3
5078133.8
Blue420
6390161.0
6403123.2
2643128.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123480100300400500206420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5078
#21
133.81.7
126.3128.0
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
blue by 27.2
161.03.4
147.5150.9
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
Second
5787
#11
121.30.7
122.9122.1
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
blue by 6.8
2643
#15
128.10.8
122.8123.6
Auto15.5
Teleop98.6
End17.8
Third
7170
#29
101.10.6
99.6100.2
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
blue by 22.1
123.20.9
118.9119.8
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed