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Red257
1868134.5
7173106.6
5078133.8
Blue416
1241195.3
7158122.9
6403123.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215398100300500600257416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#14
134.51.4
135.2133.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
blue by 60.8
195.31.3
189.0190.3
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
Second
5078
#21
133.81.1
128.0129.2
Auto13.9
Teleop97.5
End27.7
red by 10.6
123.21.5
119.8121.3
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
Third
7173
#19
106.60.4
102.4102.8
Auto16.8
Teleop78.8
End12.9
blue by 16.3
7158
#13
122.92.1
118.0120.1
Auto16.8
Teleop89.6
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed