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Qual 532018 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red367
6408111.1
7169131.6
4334167.1
Blue269
7167102.0
4627141.9
6390161.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316301150200250350400450367269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#4
167.12.7
158.4→161.2
Auto18.7
Teleop131.5
End16.5
red by 6.1
6390
#6
161.03.2
150.9→154.1
Auto16.9
Teleop118.5
End28.4
Second
7169
#7
131.62.4
124.9→127.3
Auto15.3
Teleop99.9
End17.5
blue by 10.3
4627
#2
141.90.5
138.3→138.8
Auto18.7
Teleop105.8
End18.5
Third
6408
#25
111.11.0
112.6→111.6
Auto15.2
Teleop86.2
End10.1
red by 9.0
7167
#17
102.00.8
98.7→99.5
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed