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Red207
7190116.4
6351103.7
398587.7
Blue154
5787121.3
7170101.1
462594.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2272430100300400500600207154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.40.5
113.1113.6
Auto12.9
Teleop95.7
End9.2
blue by 4.9
5787
#11
121.30.5
122.1121.6
Auto15.1
Teleop91.0
End15.5
Second
103.71.2
101.1102.3
Auto15.7
Teleop83.7
End1.9
red by 2.7
7170
#29
101.10.4
100.2100.6
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
Third
3985
#27
87.70.7
89.088.3
Auto14.7
Teleop62.8
End8.9
blue by 7.0
4625
#30
94.82.8
99.296.5
Auto14.5
Teleop76.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed