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Red421
7287138.9
7173106.6
1241195.3
Blue207
7170101.1
1482111.1
6364125.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396211100300500600421207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.31.4
190.3191.8
Auto23.1
Teleop148.3
End23.4
red by 70.1
6364
#22
125.20.4
124.4124.8
Auto13.3
Teleop96.0
End13.5
Second
7287
#10
138.92.0
135.6137.6
Auto16.9
Teleop101.8
End22.8
red by 27.8
1482
#23
111.11.0
112.0111.1
Auto14.0
Teleop89.1
End7.5
Third
7173
#19
106.61.0
102.8103.9
Auto16.8
Teleop78.8
End12.9
red by 5.6
7170
#29
101.10.5
100.6101.1
Auto16.1
Teleop80.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed