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Red106
6408111.1
6403123.2
656391.8
Blue387
7135103.5
1868134.5
7167102.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261275150200300350400106387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.21.5
121.3122.7
Auto16.6
Teleop97.4
End9.2
blue by 11.3
1868
#14
134.50.2
133.8133.7
Auto19.3
Teleop103.5
End11.2
Second
6408
#25
111.10.1
111.6111.5
Auto15.2
Teleop86.2
End10.1
red by 7.5
7135
#26
103.50.5
101.9102.4
Auto14.3
Teleop82.8
End7.9
Third
6563
#28
91.80.3
92.091.8
Auto11.6
Teleop71.6
End9.8
blue by 10.3
7167
#17
102.00.7
99.5100.2
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed