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Red330
3476196.4
5012157.9
5474108.2
Blue285
2637149.8
1160146.6
5805159.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391312200500600700330285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.40.1
196.0196.1
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
red by 36.6
5805
#27
159.80.1
159.7159.8
Auto18.9
Teleop117.6
End24.4
Second
157.90.7
155.5156.2
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
red by 8.1
2637
#14
149.80.0
149.8149.8
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Third
5474
#33
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
blue by 38.4
1160
#11
146.60.0
146.6146.6
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6