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Red325
3476196.4
5012157.9
5474108.2
Blue248
2637149.8
1160146.6
5805159.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390318100200500600700325248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.40.2
195.8196.0
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
red by 36.6
5805
#27
159.80.2
159.5159.7
Auto18.9
Teleop117.6
End24.4
Second
157.90.7
154.8155.5
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
red by 8.1
2637
#14
149.80.0
149.8149.8
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Third
5474
#33
108.20.1
108.1108.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
blue by 38.4
1160
#11
146.60.1
146.5146.6
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6