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Red402
3476196.4
5012157.9
5474108.2
Blue415
399190.3
294187.6
3390114.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3353640200600800402415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.40.1
196.3196.4
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
red by 6.1
399
#6
190.30.0
190.0190.1
Auto20.6
Teleop138.7
End31.4
Second
157.90.6
157.3157.9
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
blue by 29.7
294
#4
187.60.5
185.6186.1
Auto26.1
Teleop138.1
End25.8
Third
5474
#33
108.20.0
108.2108.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
blue by 5.8
3390
#32
114.10.5
115.6115.1
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End10.6