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Red332
4322159.0
4276155.1
3647162.8
Blue151
586995.1
2658151.8
2429119.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3942580100200300500332151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#15
162.80.5
157.0156.6
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 11.0
2658
#16
151.80.8
142.9143.7
Auto21.3
Teleop110.6
End21.7
Second
4322
#25
159.01.6
154.8156.4
Auto20.9
Teleop113.2
End25.4
red by 39.1
2429
#26
119.90.8
118.3119.1
Auto17.3
Teleop87.7
End16.4
Third
155.11.4
146.1147.5
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End17.1
red by 59.9
5869
#36
95.11.8
105.8107.6
Auto14.1
Teleop72.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed