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Red258
6382108.6
2493114.8
4191126.6
Blue393
6072140.7
4255127.2
597160.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203590100300400500258393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4191
#34
126.60.8
123.3124.1
Auto13.2
Teleop100.8
End13.1
blue by 33.6
597
#7
160.20.4
144.3144.6
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
Second
2493
#17
114.80.6
112.8112.2
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
blue by 25.9
6072
#13
140.71.3
131.6132.9
Auto18.4
Teleop108.9
End13.8
Third
6382
#12
108.60.6
92.192.7
Auto17.2
Teleop83.9
End7.0
blue by 18.7
4255
#18
127.20.1
124.2124.3
Auto17.0
Teleop97.5
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed