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Qual 282018 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red219
5805159.8
6060117.9
2637149.8
Blue439
3476196.4
5102138.2
5474108.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349287100200400500600219439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5805
#27
159.80.8
162.3→163.1
Auto18.9
Teleop117.6
End24.4
blue by 36.6
3476
#5
196.40.0
184.7→184.7
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
Second
2637
#14
149.81.1
138.6→139.8
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
red by 11.5
5102
#8
138.21.1
114.3→115.4
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
Third
6060
#23
117.91.5
127.7→126.2
Auto17.0
Teleop84.7
End16.5
red by 9.7
5474
#33
108.20.7
107.1→106.4
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed