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Red298
399190.3
3390114.1
4014132.9
Blue259
5012157.9
702140.5
3453124.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333273100200300400500600298259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#6
190.30.5
183.8184.3
Auto20.6
Teleop138.7
End31.4
red by 32.4
157.90.4
142.1142.5
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
Second
4014
#28
132.90.4
127.5127.1
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
blue by 7.6
702
#21
140.50.4
138.1137.7
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
Third
3390
#32
114.13.4
115.1118.6
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End10.6
blue by 10.6
3453
#35
124.71.9
115.2117.1
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed