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Red382
4014132.9
5102138.2
599131.0
Blue317
3309208.1
6072140.7
3647162.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2164420100300400500600700382317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.22.0
115.4117.5
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
blue by 69.9
208.11.6
195.9197.5
Auto27.4
Teleop148.2
End32.7
Second
4014
#28
132.90.3
127.1126.8
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
blue by 29.9
3647
#15
162.80.5
156.6156.1
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Third
599
#19
131.01.3
127.7126.4
Auto16.3
Teleop95.5
End21.7
blue by 9.7
6072
#13
140.71.7
132.9134.6
Auto18.4
Teleop108.9
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsMissed