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Red358
980121.8
981130.4
597160.2
Blue389
1160146.6
6382108.6
3476196.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913500100200400500600700800358389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#7
160.21.0
144.6145.6
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
blue by 36.2
196.41.3
184.7186.0
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
Second
981
#20
130.40.2
132.6132.4
Auto17.8
Teleop95.5
End15.3
blue by 16.1
1160
#11
146.60.3
143.9143.6
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6
Third
980
#31
121.80.6
124.9124.3
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
red by 13.2
6382
#12
108.60.9
92.793.6
Auto17.2
Teleop83.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed