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Red443
702140.5
330199.4
5012157.9
Blue169
4191126.6
3669120.5
586995.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141510100200300500600443169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
199.41.9
183.7185.6
Auto24.0
Teleop145.4
End31.1
red by 72.8
4191
#34
126.61.0
124.1125.1
Auto13.2
Teleop100.8
End13.1
Second
157.90.1
142.5142.6
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
red by 37.4
3669
#24
120.50.8
115.9116.7
Auto19.6
Teleop88.2
End9.9
Third
702
#21
140.50.6
137.7137.1
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
red by 45.3
5869
#36
95.10.9
107.6106.7
Auto14.1
Teleop72.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed