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Red355
3476196.4
2493114.8
58597.1
Blue397
6382108.6
2637149.8
5102138.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294303200250350400355397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.41.4
186.0187.4
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
red by 46.6
2637
#14
149.81.1
140.0141.1
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Second
2493
#17
114.80.2
112.1112.3
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
blue by 23.4
138.22.9
117.5120.3
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
Third
585
#30
97.11.6
98.897.2
Auto16.0
Teleop73.3
End8.8
blue by 11.5
6382
#12
108.61.0
93.694.6
Auto17.2
Teleop83.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed