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Red146
586995.1
4014132.9
4255127.2
Blue434
3669120.5
294187.6
2637149.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393870100200300500600700146434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4014
#28
132.90.5
127.7128.3
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
blue by 54.7
294
#4
187.61.9
171.1173.1
Auto26.1
Teleop138.1
End25.8
Second
4255
#18
127.21.7
126.5128.2
Auto17.0
Teleop97.5
End12.7
blue by 22.5
2637
#14
149.82.1
141.1143.1
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
Third
5869
#36
95.10.1
106.5106.5
Auto14.1
Teleop72.7
End4.4
blue by 25.3
3669
#24
120.50.5
117.6118.0
Auto19.6
Teleop88.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed