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Red222
981130.4
2493114.8
6072140.7
Blue446
6060117.9
1160146.6
3647162.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2943470200400600800222446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6072
#13
140.71.2
135.5136.7
Auto18.4
Teleop108.9
End13.8
blue by 22.1
3647
#15
162.80.1
155.2155.1
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Second
981
#20
130.40.1
132.8132.9
Auto17.8
Teleop95.5
End15.3
blue by 16.1
1160
#11
146.60.2
143.7143.5
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6
Third
2493
#17
114.80.5
112.3112.8
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
blue by 3.1
6060
#23
117.91.8
121.9120.1
Auto17.0
Teleop84.7
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned