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Red109
980121.8
586995.1
6060117.9
Blue457
1160146.6
5102138.2
399190.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1944340100300400500600700109457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
980
#31
121.80.3
123.4123.1
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
blue by 68.5
399
#6
190.30.8
186.4187.3
Auto20.6
Teleop138.7
End31.4
Second
6060
#23
117.90.2
119.5119.3
Auto17.0
Teleop84.7
End16.5
blue by 28.7
1160
#11
146.60.5
144.3144.7
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6
Third
5869
#36
95.12.1
104.3102.2
Auto14.1
Teleop72.7
End4.4
blue by 43.1
138.22.3
126.5128.8
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed