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Red351
702140.5
2493114.8
233996.8
Blue285
4014132.9
58597.1
597160.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265331100200300400500351285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#21
140.50.5
140.0140.5
Auto19.5
Teleop105.4
End13.8
blue by 19.7
597
#7
160.22.2
150.3152.4
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
Second
2493
#17
114.80.6
112.6113.1
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
blue by 18.1
4014
#28
132.91.2
127.7128.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
Third
2339
#29
96.80.3
95.595.2
Auto16.7
Teleop72.5
End9.5
blue by 0.2
585
#30
97.10.4
95.796.0
Auto16.0
Teleop73.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed