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Red316
233996.8
399190.3
3669120.5
Blue413
4191126.6
3647162.8
5012157.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288362100200400500600316413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#6
190.31.1
187.3188.3
Auto20.6
Teleop138.7
End31.4
red by 27.5
3647
#15
162.81.2
158.2159.4
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Second
3669
#24
120.50.1
119.3119.4
Auto19.6
Teleop88.2
End9.9
blue by 37.4
157.91.6
148.9150.5
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
Third
2339
#29
96.80.6
95.295.8
Auto16.7
Teleop72.5
End9.5
blue by 29.7
4191
#34
126.60.1
126.4126.5
Auto13.2
Teleop100.8
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned