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Red264
5474108.2
2429119.9
4014132.9
Blue476
330199.4
6060117.9
3476196.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1694690100300400600700800264476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4014
#28
132.91.0
128.9129.9
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End11.7
blue by 66.5
330
#2
199.41.5
192.8194.2
Auto24.0
Teleop145.4
End31.1
Second
2429
#26
119.90.1
119.3119.2
Auto17.3
Teleop87.7
End16.4
blue by 76.5
196.41.3
191.9193.2
Auto24.0
Teleop137.8
End36.2
Third
5474
#33
108.20.2
106.7106.9
Auto15.7
Teleop83.5
End10.7
blue by 9.7
6060
#23
117.90.9
119.3118.4
Auto17.0
Teleop84.7
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsEarned