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Red271
3647162.8
2637149.8
980121.8
Blue374
3669120.5
4276155.1
2493114.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382276100200500600700271374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#15
162.81.6
159.4161.0
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
red by 7.7
155.10.4
153.0153.4
Auto20.9
Teleop117.1
End17.1
Second
2637
#14
149.81.7
147.1148.8
Auto21.1
Teleop114.4
End12.3
red by 29.3
3669
#24
120.50.3
119.4119.7
Auto19.6
Teleop88.2
End9.9
Third
980
#31
121.80.0
122.2122.2
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
red by 7.0
2493
#17
114.80.2
114.1113.9
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed