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Red499
5102138.2
597160.2
5012157.9
Blue213
3453124.7
6060117.9
2429119.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152220100300500600700499213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#7
160.21.8
152.4154.2
Auto22.1
Teleop117.8
End23.2
red by 35.5
3453
#35
124.70.3
124.8125.1
Auto14.6
Teleop96.5
End14.8
Second
157.91.9
150.5152.4
Auto20.3
Teleop116.5
End24.9
red by 38.0
2429
#26
119.90.5
119.2119.7
Auto17.3
Teleop87.7
End16.4
Third
138.21.7
131.0132.7
Auto16.9
Teleop104.0
End20.3
red by 20.3
6060
#23
117.90.2
118.4118.2
Auto17.0
Teleop84.7
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed