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Red281
6382108.6
1160146.6
330199.4
Blue370
4255127.2
4470137.5
980121.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162310100300500600700281370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
199.41.7
196.0197.7
Auto24.0
Teleop145.4
End31.1
red by 61.9
4470
#10
137.50.5
136.1136.6
Auto18.8
Teleop93.3
End29.9
Second
1160
#11
146.60.8
145.5146.3
Auto20.0
Teleop104.5
End19.6
red by 19.4
4255
#18
127.20.3
127.5127.2
Auto17.0
Teleop97.5
End12.7
Third
6382
#12
108.62.4
105.4107.8
Auto17.2
Teleop83.9
End7.0
blue by 13.2
980
#31
121.80.4
122.2121.8
Auto14.7
Teleop94.4
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed